Negotiations are intensifying over the future of United States military aid to Israel, as the current agreement is set to expire in 2028. While Israel and its ministries recently reached a compromise on the defense budget, the more pressing challenge is securing a new memorandum of understanding with the United States, especially as the 'America First' policy pushes for more of the aid to be spent within the United States rather than Israel's local defense industry. The gradual reduction of funds available for local procurement is creating urgency for Israeli officials, who hope to finalize an agreement before potential political changes in Washington following the mid-term elections.

Experts warn that delays could complicate the legislative approval process, as shifting political dynamics in the United States may make it harder to secure support for the agreement. Both left- and right-wing voices in the United States have expressed opposition to continued aid, citing concerns over foreign spending and Israel's military actions. Despite this, the longstanding partnership has provided mutual benefits, with Israel contributing valuable operational experience and technological upgrades to American weaponry.

Some analysts suggest reframing the agreement as a partnership rather than direct aid, emphasizing joint projects and economic cooperation. As discussions continue, both sides recognize the strategic and economic importance of maintaining strong defense ties, but time is running short to reach a new deal that satisfies evolving priorities in both countries.