Israel has reportedly cautioned the United States that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps may be using a current missile-focused military exercise as a pretext for a possible attack on Israel. According to sources cited by Axios, Israel's risk tolerance has decreased following the October 2023 attack by Hamas, prompting heightened vigilance over Iranian military movements. While Israeli officials estimate the likelihood of an Iranian strike at less than fifty percent, they remain unwilling to dismiss the possibility as merely an exercise. Meanwhile, American intelligence has not detected any imminent threat, and senior military officials from both countries have held discussions in Tel Aviv to assess the situation.