A recent poll conducted by Lazar Research and published in Ma'ariv shows the Likud party maintaining its lead, while the opposition bloc faces challenges in forming a coalition government. The coalition bloc is projected to secure 50 seats, slightly up from the previous poll, whereas the opposition bloc, including new parties led by Naftali Bennet and Gadi Eisenkot, is expected to win 60 seats. The Arab parties are forecasted to receive 10 seats, making it difficult for the opposition to reach the 61-seat threshold needed for a majority without their support.

In scenarios where Bennet and Eisenkot each head separate parties, Likud remains the largest party with 23 seats. Bennet's party and Yair Golan's Democrats are each predicted to win 21 seats, while Eisenkot, Shas, and Yisrael Beytenu are each projected to secure nine seats. Other parties, including United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, Yesh Atid, United Arab List, Hadash-Ta'al, Blue and White, and the Religious Zionist Party, are expected to receive between four and seven seats each.