Israel is experiencing a rare period of relative calm, with 2026 expected to be the first year in three without formal war. However, tensions remain high on multiple fronts, as Hezbollah continues to rebuild in Lebanon and Hamas resists disarmament in Gaza. Iran, still reeling from a recent defeat, is intensifying preparations for future conflict, while its regime faces internal instability and economic hardship.

Diplomatic efforts between Israel and the United States have yielded only partial agreements, with disputes over how to handle Hezbollah and Turkish involvement in Gaza. The threat from Iran persists, with leaders issuing warnings and maintaining a posture of high alert. Meanwhile, the situation in Gaza remains unresolved, with delays in stabilization efforts and ongoing concerns about Hamas regaining strength.

Other regional actors, including the Houthi regime in Yemen and the Syrian government, add further complexity to Israel's security landscape. Despite the current lull, many analysts believe renewed fighting is only a matter of time, as underlying threats have not been neutralized.