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Expert reveals the real odds of being sent to war amid Iran airstrikes

Social media erupted with jokes about Barron Trump seeking a medical exemption after the United States launched airstrikes against Iran, reviving public anxiety about whether a military draft could return. Concerns intensified when the White House press secretary declined to rule out reinstating mandatory service, saying the president does not remove options from consideration.

However, defense policy expert Katherine Kuzminski said the likelihood of bringing back conscription is extremely slim. She cited overwhelming political opposition, decades of public resistance shaped by the Vietnam War, and the approaching midterm elections as major deterrents. Lawmakers in both parties would be reluctant to risk voter backlash by advancing such legislation.

Operationally, the current campaign against Iran relies on air and naval power rather than large ground deployments. Pentagon sources said any expansion would prioritize elite professional forces, not draftees, and emphasized that existing war plans do not involve compulsory service. The military also has alternatives, such as recalling reservists or extending current enlistments.

Even in the unlikely event of a national emergency requiring a draft, experts warn the Selective Service System is unprepared after decades of dormancy and would likely face significant legal challenges. For now, analysts say Americans do not need to worry about being drafted as the conflict unfolds.

Original article source: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15622309/us-military-draft-iran-trump-expert.html
Source Id: 2026-03-1003279021

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