Zohran Mamdani's lead in the New York City mayoral race has narrowed, according to a recent poll, but he still maintains a double-digit advantage over his rivals. Mamdani currently holds 47% support among likely voters, with Curtis Sliwa at 15% and Andrew Cuomo at 31%. While Mamdani's support has dipped since mid-October, he remains the preferred candidate among very liberal voters, younger residents, and Democrats, though he has lost some ground with young women and Black voters.

Andrew Cuomo has gained traction, particularly among Jewish voters, seniors, and women over 45, while Sliwa's support among Republicans has declined. Mamdani's supporters are more enthusiastic and certain about their vote than those backing Sliwa or Cuomo, but their relative youth and inexperience could impact turnout. In a hypothetical two-way race, Mamdani's lead shrinks to 10 points as Cuomo consolidates support from key groups.

Mamdani's perceived strength on issues like the economy, crime, and taxes has weakened, though he is still seen as best equipped to bring needed change to the city. The election highlights a generational divide, with younger voters favoring Mamdani and older voters expressing concerns about his impact. Both Mamdani and Cuomo have seen their favorability ratings decline, while Sliwa and Donald Trump have experienced modest gains. The candidates' positions on Israel are important to nearly half of voters, but Mamdani leads across all groups regardless of their stance on the issue.