image sourced from original article at A surge in large bets on the prediction platform Polymarket occurred just one day before the United States and Israel launched missile strikes on Iran, raising questions about whether some bettors anticipated the attack. The timing and size of the wagers have drawn attention, as they resulted in more than $1 million in winnings for those who correctly predicted the military action.
Polymarket, one of the world's largest prediction markets, allows users to anonymously wager on future events ranging from elections to sports and geopolitical developments. Since late last year, more than $529 million has been traded on bets related to when the United States might carry out another strike on Iran, following its previous attack on Iranian nuclear facilities in June.
The unusually well-timed bets placed just before the latest missile strikes have fueled speculation about whether certain participants had advance insight into the military plans, though no evidence has yet confirmed such claims.
