A new poll published by Channel 12 reveals shifting dynamics in the Israeli political landscape, with the Likud party led by Benjamin Netanyahu dropping three seats to 24. Benny Gantz's Blue and White - National Union fails to cross the electoral threshold following the departure of former military chief Gadi Eisenkot, who emerges as a significant contender with 12 seats. Naftali Bennett's party rises to second place with 20 seats, while other parties such as Yisrael Beytenu and The Democrats each secure 11 seats. Ultra-Orthodox and far-right parties see mixed results, with Shas and United Torah Judaism dropping to 8 and 7 seats respectively, and Religious Zionism passing the threshold with 4 seats.
The poll also explores potential alliances, indicating that Eisenkot could boost his numbers by joining forces with Yesh Atid or Bennett, but these scenarios do not significantly alter the overall balance between opposition and coalition blocs. The opposition would hold a slim majority of 61 seats, while the coalition would have 49, and Arab parties would account for 10 seats. The survey, conducted among 505 respondents, has a margin of error of 4.4%.