Iraq's political landscape remains uncertain following the recent parliamentary elections, as no single faction secured a decisive majority. Political parties are now engaged in complex negotiations to form alliances that will determine the next government. The current prime minister, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, emerged with the most seats but lacks enough support to govern alone, and his future is in doubt due to shifting alliances and the reluctance of his coalition to back his reelection.

The absence of the influential Sadrist movement has reshaped the balance of power, allowing groups with armed wings to gain unprecedented influence in parliament. Meanwhile, Sunni and Kurdish factions are reorganizing and negotiating their roles in the new government. The incoming administration will face significant challenges, including economic instability, entrenched corruption, and the delicate issue of armed groups operating with autonomy despite formal integration into state structures.

International pressures also weigh heavily, as both Iran and the United States seek to influence the selection of Iraq's next leader. The future government's ability to address the role of armed factions and maintain a balance between competing interests will be crucial for Iraq's stability.