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Israel's Somaliland gambit: what's at risk for the region?

image sourced from original article at https://www.arabnews.com/node/2627700/middle-east

Israel has formally recognized Somaliland as an independent nation, breaking with decades of international consensus and sparking intense debate across the region. The move is seen as a calculated geopolitical strategy, reviving Israel's historic approach of supporting peripheral entities to gain strategic advantage in the Arab and Muslim world. Critics argue that this recognition could deepen internal divisions, erode regional stability, and set a dangerous precedent for secessionist movements.

Somaliland's leadership has welcomed the recognition as a historic milestone, but regional powers and international organizations have condemned the decision, warning of serious repercussions. Israel's potential military and intelligence presence in the Horn of Africa, particularly near the vital Bab Al-Mandab Strait, has raised fears of escalating tensions and destabilizing the Red Sea corridor. The lack of support from major global actors further isolates Israel's position, highlighting the risks of prioritizing strategic interests over established diplomatic norms.

Original article source: https://www.arabnews.com/node/2627700/middle-east
Source Id: 2025-12-935393666

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