Israel's recent recognition of Somaliland's independence has sparked widespread international condemnation and fears of increased instability in the Horn of Africa. The move, announced in late December, marks the first time any country has formally acknowledged the breakaway territory, which declared independence from Somalia in 1991 but has remained unrecognized for over three decades. Critics, including regional powers and global organizations, warn that this recognition could militarize the Red Sea and exacerbate tensions among neighboring countries.

Somalia, backed by the African Union, the European Union, China, and several Arab and Islamic states, has strongly rejected Israel's decision, citing violations of international law and concerns over territorial integrity. Allegations have surfaced that Somaliland may accept Palestinians displaced from Gaza, a claim denied by Somaliland but fueling further distrust among pro-Palestinian nations. The situation is complicated by ongoing disputes over access to the Red Sea and fears that Israel may establish military bases in Somaliland, potentially drawing the region into broader conflicts.

Analysts highlight deep internal divisions within Somaliland itself, questioning its readiness for international recognition and warning that the move could create a governance vacuum vulnerable to radicalization. The recognition is seen by many as a destabilizing act that threatens to undermine peace, security, and unity in the region, with potential repercussions for neighboring states and beyond.