Russia has gained short-term advantages from the United States and Israeli assault on Iran, including higher oil and gas prices and potential strain on Western military supplies to Ukraine. President Vladimir Putin has also sought to position Moscow as an alternative energy partner amid the turmoil.

Yet the crisis has exposed the limits of Russia’s global influence. As President Trump projects unchecked American military power against leaders in Iran, Venezuela and Cuba, Moscow has offered little more than rhetoric, even when longstanding partners were targeted. Russia’s muted response, particularly toward Iran after it aided Moscow in Ukraine, has raised questions about the value of its alliances.

Analysts say the shift has undercut Putin’s image as a risk-taking strongman willing to defy the West. With Russia bogged down in Ukraine and unable to shield its partners without escalating into direct conflict with the United States, the Kremlin appears constrained. While Trump’s actions sometimes benefit Moscow, including tensions within the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and criticism of Ukraine’s leadership, the broader display of American power has complicated Russia’s efforts to project strength abroad.