Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels have so far stayed out of the expanding Middle East war, even as other groups aligned with Tehran launch attacks against Israel and United States targets. Iran’s new supreme leader has hinted at opening additional fronts, fueling speculation that the Houthis could soon become involved. Analysts say their restraint is strategic and coordinated with Iran rather than a sign of unwillingness.

The Houthis have previously demonstrated their ability to disrupt regional security, launching missile and drone attacks on shipping in the Red Sea and striking oil facilities. However, officials within the group say their weapons stockpile has been strained by earlier fighting, and supply lines have been further hindered by the current conflict. Despite this, the group is reportedly recruiting fighters, repositioning forces and maintaining a large drone inventory, signaling preparations for possible escalation.

Experts believe the Houthis would most likely target oil tankers, shipping routes and possibly United States military sites in the region if they enter the war. Such attacks could significantly disrupt global energy supplies and trade. Internal divisions in Yemen, fear of assassinations and warnings from the United States have also contributed to the group’s caution.

Analysts note that while the Houthis remain ready to intervene, timing appears central to their decision. Any move to join the conflict may depend on how the war evolves and whether Iran faces a severe military threat, as well as whether the group can justify involvement to its domestic base in Yemen.