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Hezbollah disarmament deadlock risks civil war, analysts say, as US prepares for Israel-Lebanon talks

Israel and Lebanon are returning to United States-brokered talks in Washington as a fragile ceasefire holds following weeks of cross-border fighting. The renewed diplomacy comes after Hezbollah launched attacks along Israel's northern border in early March, prompting sustained Israeli air and ground operations in southern Lebanon. Although the truce has paused the violence, it has not resolved the central dispute over Hezbollah's armed presence.

At the heart of the deadlock is a fundamental standoff: Hezbollah refuses to disarm without a full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, while Israel insists it will not withdraw unless Hezbollah gives up its weapons. International efforts, including those involving the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon, have failed to bridge the gap. Analysts say Hezbollah's deep political and military influence inside Lebanon further complicates negotiations.

Some Lebanese observers report growing frustration within the country, arguing that Hezbollah's dominance has contributed to national instability and institutional decline. However, other analysts warn that any serious attempt to forcibly disarm the group could trigger civil war, given Lebanon's fragile political balance.

With little expectation of a breakthrough, experts suggest the talks are focused on limited goals such as extending the ceasefire, pulling Hezbollah forces away from border areas and expanding the role of the Lebanese army. Broader questions about disarmament and long-term peace remain unresolved, raising doubts about the prospects for a lasting agreement.

Original article source: https://www.foxnews.com/world/hezbollah-disarmament-deadlock-risks-civil-war-analysts-say-us-prepares-israel-lebanon-talks
Source Id: 9188915463

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