A new Maariv poll finds that Israeli voting patterns remain largely unchanged despite recent national events, including the end of the war with Iran and Hezbollah and the country’s Remembrance Day and Independence Day commemorations. Most voters continue to align with their existing political blocs, with only minor internal shifts recorded.

For the first time since late June 2025, Likud and Naftali Bennett’s party, Bennett 2026, are polling at similar levels. At the start of Operation Roaring Lion, Likud held a six-seat advantage, but it has since lost three seats while Bennett gained three. Although Likud dropped one additional seat this week and Otzma Yehudit gained one, the overall balance between blocs remains unchanged, leaving the opposition with a 61-seat majority without the Arab parties, compared to 49 seats for the coalition.

The survey also highlights public divisions over national symbolism and foreign policy. Forty-four percent of respondents believe this year’s Independence Day torch-lighting ceremony was political, while 32 percent view it as state-oriented and 24 percent are unsure. On the decision by United States President Donald Trump to extend the ceasefire to await Iran’s response, 42 percent consider it a mistake, 28 percent support it, and 30 percent say they do not know.