Regional sources say the United States and Iran have made progress toward drafting a memorandum of understanding and principles aimed at reducing tensions and enabling continued negotiations. While discussions have outlined a possible framework for future talks, significant gaps remain between the sides.

Israeli officials believe that even if diplomatic understandings are achieved, Iran's supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is unlikely to approve concessions that would limit Iran's strategic nuclear capabilities or regional influence. They assess that Tehran’s leadership remains resistant to any compromise perceived as weakening its position.

At the same time, military coordination between Israel and the United States has intensified in case diplomacy fails. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has spoken with President Donald Trump, and senior Israeli defense officials are holding ongoing discussions with their American counterparts to prepare for the possibility of military action. Israeli officials stress that while diplomacy continues, the military option remains under consideration and ultimately depends on the decision of the American president.