The author argues that the recent March war has given the United States and Israel a rare strategic advantage over Iran by significantly degrading its nuclear and military capabilities. Reflecting on the 2015 nuclear negotiations, the author contends that allowing Iran to continue enriching uranium created the current crisis, enabling Tehran to accumulate highly enriched uranium and expand its ballistic missile arsenal.

According to the article, coordinated strikes on nuclear facilities, missile supply chains, military bases, and senior commanders have weakened Iran’s leadership and defense infrastructure. However, despite these setbacks, the regime remains in power, retains missile and drone capabilities, and continues to support armed proxy groups across the region.

The author insists that any cease-fire must lead to a comprehensive agreement requiring Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpiles, halt all uranium enrichment, abandon long-range missile development, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and end support for proxy forces. Without strict monitoring and firm enforcement, the article warns, the current opportunity could be lost, repeating what the author views as the mistakes of 2015 and allowing Iran to eventually obtain nuclear weapons.